Main Article Content
Abstract
This article aims to analyze the regional disparities of social and de-mographic indicators in Morocco by conducting a comparative carto-graphic study between the 2014 and 2024 censuses. Using data from the General Population and Housing Census (RGPH) and reports from the High Commission for Planning, combined with Geographic Infor-mation Systems (GIS), this research highlights significant spatial and temporal changes across various regions. Key indicators analyzed include population density, unemployment rates, urbanization levels, literacy rates, and economic activity. The results reveal stark regional disparities, with Casablanca-Settat and Tangier-Tetouan-Al Hoceima maintaining high population density and urbanization growth, while rural regions like Drâa-Tafilalet and Béni Mellal-Khénifra continue to face persistent challenges, such as high unemployment and illiteracy rates. Notably, the southern regions of Laâyoune-Sakia El Hamra and Dakhla-Oued Ed-Dahab have shown remarkable improvements in urbanization and economic activity due to targeted government-led development projects.
Quantitatively, the study identifies a 5.4% national increase in ur-banization rates over the past decade, accompanied by a 7% reduc-tion in national illiteracy rates. However, unemployment remains a critical issue, with some regions experiencing only marginal im-provements. The ARIMA model projections indicate further urbaniza-tion by 2030, with potential risks of growing disparities if regional development policies are not effectively implemented. These findings underscore the urgent need for targeted policies aimed at promoting regional equity by investing in education, enhancing job opportuni-ties in rural areas, and fostering balanced urban growth. The study emphasizes the importance of integrating GIS-based spatial analysis into policy-making to ensure sustainable and inclusive development.
Article Details
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
References
Bayat, A., & Ellis, S. (2019). Urban economies in Africa: Pathways to inclusive growth. Cambridge University Press.
Bencheikh, A., & Ouhmou, N. (2016). Regional disparities in Morocco: A descriptive sta-tistical approach. Journal of Economic Studies, 4, 210-225.
Benner, M., Trippl, M., & Hassink, R. (2024). Sustainable and inclusive development in left-behind places. Review of Regional Re-search. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10037-024-00216-w
Bettencourt, L. M. A., & Marchio, N. (2023). Street access, informality and develop-ment: A block level analysis across all of sub-Saharan Africa. arXiv preprint arXiv:2307.16328. Retrieved from https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.16328
Castells, M. (2010). The rise of the network so-ciety (2nd ed.). Wiley-Blackwell.
Feliu, L. (2021). The closure of borders and its economic impacts in Northern Morocco. Journal of Border Studies.
Gallup, J. L. (2022). Urbanization trends in North Africa: Drivers and challenges. World Development.
Goodchild, M. F. (1992). Geographical infor-mation science. International Journal of Geographical Information Systems, 6, 31-45. https://doi.org/10.1080/02693799208901893
Hanushek, E. A., & Woessmann, L. (2020). The knowledge capital of nations: Education and the economics of growth. MIT Press.
High Commission for Planning (HCP). (2014). Annual Economic and Social Reports, Mo-rocco.
High Commission for Planning (HCP). (2014). Annual Statistical Report, Morocco.
High Commission for Planning (HCP). (2014). Economic Outlook Report., Morocco.
High Commission for Planning (HCP). (2014). General Census of Population and Hous-ing, 2014, Morocco.
High Commission for Planning (HCP). General Census of Population and Housing, 2024 (Preliminary Results). Rabat, Morocco.
Ibourk, A., & Raoui, S. (2021). Scale effect on territorial disparities of sustainable hu-man development in Morocco: A spatial analysis. Discover Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-021-00068-1
INDH (National Initiative for Human Devel-opment). (2022). Reports on education and literacy. Government of Morocco.
Maguire, D. J., Batty, M., & Goodchild, M. F. (2005). GIS, spatial analysis, and model-ing. Esri Press. Retrieved from https://esripress.esri.com/display/index.cfm?fuseaction=display&websiteID=96&moduleID=0
Oberman, R., Dobbs, R., & Manyika, J. (2023). Bridging the infrastructure gap in emerg-ing economies: A pathway to sustainable growth. Journal of Development Econom-ics. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2023.105912
Roy, A. (2014). Poverty capital: Microfinance and the making of development. Routledge.
Sachs, J. D. (2015). The age of sustainable de-velopment. Columbia University Press.
Todaro, M. P., & Smith, S. C. (2020). Economic development (13th ed.). Pearson.
UNESCO. (2020). Global education monitoring report: Inclusion and education. UNESCO Publishing.
Wooldridge, J. M. (2010). Econometric analysis of cross section and panel data (2nd ed.). MIT Press. Retrieved from https://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262232586/econometric-analysis-of-cross-section-and-panel-data/
World Bank. (2019). Morocco economic moni-tor: Challenges and opportunities. Wash-ington, DC.
World Bank. (2019). Morocco economic moni-tor: Resilience in the face of crisis. Wash-ington, DC.